Contrived Electorate Examples

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From http://electionmethods.org/evaluation.htm

Winner 0 is A, 1 is B, ...

A vote "A,C" means ranking "A" highest, "C" next, and any remaining candidates equivalently last. These rankings were represented as preferences with real numbers from 1.0 to -1.0, either {1.0, 0.0, -1.0} for 3 candidates or {1.0, .33, -.33, -1.0} for 4 candidates.


Exhibit A, IRV gets the wrong answer.

17 voters, 3 candidates
8: A,C
5: B,A
4: C,B
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.2352941176470590
One Vote0.2352941176470590
Instant Runoff Vote-0.1764705882352941
Acceptance Vote0.2352941176470590
Rated Vote, raw0.2352941176470590
Rated Vote, equal sum0.2352941176470590
Rated Vote, maximized0.2352941176470590
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.2352941176470590
Rated Vote, 1..100.2352941176470590
Ranked Vote0.2352941176470590
Ranked Vote, no neg pref0.2352941176470590
Condorcet0.2352941176470590
IRNR0.2352941176470590
Random-0.05882352941176472

Just like A, but as if two of the 8 "A,C" voters change their mind to like "C" better. Counterintuitively, this causes the IRV winner to change from "B" to "A". A was devalued over the previous example, but now wins. (nevermind this happens to be the "right" answer, it's supposed to point out how flakey IRV is)

17 voters, 3 candidates
6: A,C
5: B,A
4: C,B
2: C,A
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.1176470588235290
One Vote0.1176470588235290
Instant Runoff Vote0.1176470588235290
Acceptance Vote0.1176470588235290
Rated Vote, raw0.1176470588235290
Rated Vote, equal sum0.1176470588235290
Rated Vote, maximized0.1176470588235290
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.1176470588235290
Rated Vote, 1..100.1176470588235290
Ranked Vote0.1176470588235290
Ranked Vote, no neg pref0.1176470588235290
Condorcet0.1176470588235290
IRNR0.1176470588235290
Random0.05882352941176472

Another example IRV gets wrong

21 voters, 4 candidates
7: A,B,C
6: B,A,C
5: C,B,A
3: D,C,B
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.4271428627627241
One Vote0.2061904768149060
Instant Runoff Vote0.2061904768149060
Acceptance Vote0.4271428627627241
Rated Vote, raw0.4271428627627241
Rated Vote, equal sum0.4271428627627241
Rated Vote, maximized0.4271428627627241
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.4271428627627241
Rated Vote, 1..100.4271428627627241
Ranked Vote0.4271428627627241
Ranked Vote, no neg pref0.4271428627627241
Condorcet0.4271428627627241
IRNR0.4271428627627241
Random0.4271428627627241

Another example IRV gets wrong

20 voters, 3 candidates
8: A,B
7: C,B
5: B
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.251
One Vote-0.20
Instant Runoff Vote-0.20
Acceptance Vote-0.20
Rated Vote, raw0.251
Rated Vote, equal sum0.251
Rated Vote, maximized0.251
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.251
Rated Vote, 1..100.251
Ranked Vote0.251
Ranked Vote, no neg pref0.251
Condorcet0.251
IRNR0.251
Random-0.32

From a presentation slide by Dr. Donald Saari, UC Irvine. Demonstrating the dismal situration where three different outcomes are possible depending on the elecetion system.

20 voters, 4 choices
2: A,B,C,D
1: A,C,D,B
2: A,D,C,B
2: C,B,D,A
3: D,B,C,A
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.06666699945926673
One Vote00
Instant Runoff Vote00
Acceptance Vote-0.06666899621486661
Rated Vote, raw0.06666699945926673
Rated Vote, equal sum0.06666699945926673
Rated Vote, maximized0.06666699945926673
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.06666699945926673
Rated Vote, 1..100.06666699945926673
Ranked Vote0.06666699945926673
Ranked Vote, no neg pref-0.06666899621486661
Condorcet00
IRNR0.06666699945926673
Random-0.06666899621486661

The "Milk,Beer,Wine" example. Any of the 3 possible outcomes can happen depending on the system.

15 voters, 3 choices
6: A,C,B
5: B,C,A
4: C,B,A
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.2666666666666672
One Vote-0.20
Instant Runoff Vote-0.06666666666666671
Acceptance Vote-0.20
Rated Vote, raw0.2666666666666672
Rated Vote, equal sum0.2666666666666672
Rated Vote, maximized0.2666666666666672
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.2666666666666672
Rated Vote, 1..100.2666666666666672
Ranked Vote0.2666666666666672
Ranked Vote, no neg pref0.2666666666666672
Condorcet0.2666666666666672
IRNR0.2666666666666672
Random0.2666666666666672

A thought experiment I saw out there on the net.
winner 0 = Dean, 1 = Gephardt, 2 = Edwards, 3 = Lieberman, 4 = Clark

33% Dean, Gephardt, Edwards, Lieberman, Clark
22% Clark, Edwards, Gephardt, Lieberman, Dean
18% Lieberman, Clark, Edwards, Gephardt, Dean
16% Gephardt, Lieberman, Edwards, Clark, Dean
7%  Edwards, Clark, Gephardt, Lieberman, Dean
4%  Edwards, Lieberman, Gephardt, Clark, Dean
MethodHappinessWinner
Max Happiness0.2351
One Vote-0.340
Instant Runoff Vote-0.033
Acceptance Vote0.2351
Rated Vote, raw0.2351
Rated Vote, equal sum0.2351
Rated Vote, maximized0.2351
Rated Vote, 1..num choinces0.2351
Rated Vote, 1..100.2351
Ranked Vote0.2351
Ranked Vote, no neg pref0.222
Condorcet0.222
IRNR0.222
Random-0.033

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